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Kidderminster have won fifteen of their last seventeen Blue Square Premier games (1:0 vs Nuneaton, 2:0 at Telford, 2:0 vs Wrexham, 1:0 at Tamworth, 3:2 vs Newport, 5:1 vs Dartford, 1:0 at Hereford, 0:1 to Hereford – which was as unlucky as it could get with Bittner making plenty of great saves, Storer missing a penalty and Matt hitting the woodwork – 2:0 vs Barrow, 2:0 at Mansfield, 0:1 at Macclesfield – again a bit unlucky as they've hit the woodwork twice – 1:0 vs Telford, 3:2 vs Cambridge, 4:0 at Hyde, 1:0 at Forest Green, 3:1 vs Alfreton, 1:0 at Nuneaton), they've won the last six games, the last four home games, they've kept three clean sheets in the last four games/wins or, if you want, six clean sheets in the last nine. Many have wondered if Kidderminster can continue with their amazing results after the sale of their star striker Matt to Fleetwood in January and Kidderminster answered by winning all but one game since and striker Malbon answered by scoring in each of the last five games – six goals in five. Ebbsfleet are currently second-to-bottom, they're the second worst away team in the league, with the third worst away defence (as many as 2.29 goals conceded per away game) and a horror away record at top-seven teams (five games, all defeats – 2:4 at Hereford, 1:4 at Forest Green, 0:1 at Newport, 1:4 at Mansfield, 1:3 at Grimsby), they've now lost four consecutive away games (1:4 at Mansfield, 1:3 at Dartford, 0:1 at Woking, 1:3 at Grimsby), they're still missing their key midfielder Marwa and striker Ashikodi while their only right-back Stone picked up an injury in a 1:3 defeat at Grimsby on Tuesday and will definitely miss this game as well (striker/winger Payne also picked up an opening-half injury, but he could still make it) which means Kidderminster's left-sided players like left-back Demetriou and left winger Johnson could have a very good day indeed and I really can't see them doing much at high-flying Kidderminster.

Mansfield aren't that far behind Kidderminster form-wise – they've won eight of their last nine Blue Square Premier games (3:1 at Stockport, 2:1 at Southport, 5:0 vs Dartford, 8:1 vs Barrow, 0:2 at promotion rivals Newport, 3:1 vs Cambridge, 1:0 at Hyde, 3:2 at Luton, 1:0 at Lincoln), scored sixteen goals (!) in the last three home games/wins, they're the second best home team in the league with the second best home attack (as many as 2.31 goals scored per home game), the third best home defence (only 0.94 goals conceded per home game) and an amazing home record against teams outside the top-ten in the last couple of years. Telford, on the other hand, are at the bottom of the league table, they're on a terrible winless run (twenty one games without a single win), they've lost all four away games in 2013 after that lucky draw at Hereford thanx to an injury-time equaliser on January 8 (2:3 at Braintree, 0:1 at Kidderminster, 0:1 at Grimsby, 1:2 at Newport – all narrow, but still defeats), they have a terrible away record at top-five teams (along with these three recent defeats, they've also lost 1:4 at Wrexham in December) and, to make things even worse, all other BSP teams have games in hand over them. And, breaking news, they'll be without a proper manager for this game as Cooper has left today to become Swindon's no 2. Not the best of times at Telford.

 

1.91 at Will Hill, StanJames...

1.87 at Coral...

1.82 at Bet-at-home, Expekt, MyBet, Tote...

1.80 at Bet365, Paddy Power, Sportingbet...

1.79 at Unibet...

1.75 at Bwin, Ladbrokes...

 

Kidderminster – 1.44 Will Hill, Coral, StanJames, 1.40 Bet365, Bet-at-home, Bwin, Expekt, MyBet, Paddy Power, Sportingbet, Tote, Unibet, 1.36 Ladbrokes

 

Mansfield – 1.33 Will Hill, StanJames, 1.30 Bet-at-home, Coral, Expekt, MyBet, Tote, 1.29 Bet365, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, Sportingbet, 1.28 Unibet, 1.25 Bwin

 

 

 

 

Eastleigh should be even bigger favorites at home against poor Eastbourne. As we all know, they're one of the best home teams in the league, with four wins and a draw with much improved draw specialists Havant in five home games in 2013 (5:0 vs Billericay, 3:1 vs Farnborough, 1:0 vs Salisbury, 1:0 vs Chelmsford, 2:2 vs Havant), a very efficient home attack (as many as 2.36 goals scored per home game) and an amazing home record against teams outside the top-three (two draws, no defeats and as many as nine wins). Striker Zebroski has just joined from Cheltenham which is another superb addition to an already strong squad, they have the easiest schedule between now and the end of the season of all play-off candidates and I'd be surprised if they don't turn out to be in the play-off zone come May. Eastbourne have won 1:0 away at Farnborough last weekend due to a last-minute winner from their super-sub Lok, but this will be a much tougher task – Eastbourne don't have a good away record at top-nine teams (a goalless draw at poor hosts Dover back in August and as many as five defeats), the last-minute goal at Farnborough is the only goal they've managed to score in more than 420 minutes of football, they've crashed out of Sussex Senior Cup in midweek (a 1:3 defeat at a mediocre Ryman Premier team Bognor who haven't won in the previous five league games, despite the fact they had half a dozen first-choice players and another few fringe players in the starting line-up) and they'll have quite a few selection problems for this game as they're still missing their most dangerous striker Charles and seven-goal winger Shephard while they're also losing first-choice players on a daily or at least weekly basis – Walker and Hamilton have both left the club in the last few days, after Ibe did the same thing last week.

Welling have won all of their ten Blue Square South home games in the last five months (1:0 vs Salisbury, 5:2 vs Billericay, 3:1 vs Bromley, 3:0 vs Hayes, 4:0 vs Hornchurch, 4:3 vs Truro, 3:2 vs Dorchester, 4:0 vs Boreham Wood, 1:0 vs Havant, 2:0 vs Farnborough), not to mention a couple of amazing results against Blue Square Premier opposition in the FA Trophy (2:0 vs the second best away team in the BSP Newport, 1:0 at the fourth best home team in the BSP Woking), they're obviously favorites for the title as they have two games in hand over Salisbury who have just been deducted a point for fielding an ineligable player and I'm pretty sure they'll be up for some sweet revenge after losing 1:2 at the very same Maidenhead back in October. Maidenhead are now unbeaten in the last two away games, but those were the games at poor hosts Weston and struggling Hornchurch, not at the second best home team Welling who also have the best home attack (as many as 2.6 goals scored per home game) and the second best home defence (only 0.93 goals conceded per home game). Maidenhead haven't won a single away game at teams outside the bottom-five (they've won all four of those), they've lost a couple of away games at worse teams than Welling (1:2 at Boreham Wood, 1:2 at Tonbridge) recently (before the 1:1 draw at Weston) and, unlike Welling who should be well rested as they didn't have a midweek game this time, they've managed to beat Boreham Wood 2:1 on Tuesday – bravo for them, but I'm sure Welling players will be in a much better shape (btw Welling have also just signed Ebbsfleet's midfielder Fakinos), so that's another bonus. Last but not least, Maidenhead have just sold their star striker Wall to Luton – they guy's scored nine goals in the last ten games or, if you want, nine of Maidenhead's last fourteen goals. Crucial bit of team news.

 

2.35 at Coral...

2.32 at Sportingbet...

2.20 at Bet365...

2.16 at Ladbrokes, Tote...

2.10 at Bwin, Expekt, MyBet, StanJames...

2.08 at Unibet...

2.03 at Bet-at-home...

2.01 at Will Hill, Paddy Power...

 

Eastleigh – 1.57 Coral, 1.55 Sportingbet, 1.52 Bet365, 1.50 Bwin, Ladbrokes, StanJames, Tote, 1.47 Unibet, 1.45 Bet-at-home, Expekt, MyBet, 1.44 Will Hill, Paddy Power

 

Welling – 1.50 Coral, Splortingbet, 1.45 Bet365, Expekt, MyBet, 1.44 Ladbrokes, Tote, 1.42 Unibet, 1.40 Bet-at-home, Bwin, Will Hill, Paddy Power, StanJames

 

 

 

 

I think both Grimsby and Forest Green should be bigger favorites away at Macclesfield and Cambridge respectively. Macclesfield have only won once in the last five (all winable) games (1:1 at Hyde, 0:0 at Tamworth, 2:1 at Alfreton, 1:1 vs Luton, 0:4 to Gateshead), only scored once in the last three home games (0:1 to Cardiff, 1:1 vs Luton, 0:4 to Gateshead), they have the fifth worst home attack in the league (only 1.31 goals scored per home game), not a good record against top-eleven teams, both home (defeats to Forest Green and Mansfield, draws with Newport and Luton, wins against Wrexham and Kidderminster – they've scored a couple of goals from two corners in a 2:0 win against Wrexham back in the first week of the season in August and were a bit lucky in a 1:0 win against Kidderminster who hit the woodwork twice in January) and away (a lucky 1:0 win at the very same Grimsby back in October, a draw at Forest Green, defeats at Hereford, Luton, Kidderminster and Cambridge) and they won't have as many options as they did a few weeks ago as midfielder Kasim (who was in the starting line-up in every game since joining) and winger Evans (who was their best player in a shock 0:4 defeat to Gateshead last Friday according to their manager King) have both returned to their respective parent clubs, along with striker Gorman, while defenders Brown and Martin and key midfielder Murtagh are all extremely doubtful. Grimsby have already recovered from their shock defeat away at Braintree ten days ago – they've kept another clean sheet on the road and progressed to the FA Trophy final and then won 3:1 at home against Ebbsfleet on Tuesday. The defeat at Braintree was their first away defeat since their only other away defeat so far this season (2:3 at Hyde in November), so in the last seven away games (1:0 at Buxton in the FA Trophy, 1:1 at Ebbsfleet, 4:1 at Lincoln, 2:1 at Welling in the FA Trophy, 0:0 at Cambridge, 0:2 at Braintree, 0:0 at Dartford in the FA Trophy), they have a superb record away at top-thirteen teams (two wins, five draws, three goals scored and not a single goal conceded!) and I definitely wouldn't be surprised if they manage to keep another clean sheet away at Macclesfield. They don't score that many on the road, but they usually create more chances than their opponents (the Braintree defeat was a twilight-zone exception), they'll only be missing centre-back Pearson (they've recently signed a perfect replacement for him though, Naylor on loan from Derby) and, as I've said, I think they should be bigger favorites away at Macclesfield.

Cambridge aren't that good at home, especially against top-half teams (two wins – Mansfield in October and Macclesfield in November – a goalless draw with Grimsby and four defeats, to Dartford, Wrexham, Kidderminster and, finally, Hereford last weekend), they've lost three of their last four home games and only shared points in the remaining one (1:3 to Nuneaton, 0:0 vs Grimsby, 0:3 to Alfreton, 1:3 to Hereford) and I hope their manager sticks to the team that finally managed to win a game (2:1 away at poor hosts Tamworth on Tuesday) after four consecutive big defeats (2:3 at Kidderminster, 0:3 to Alfreton, 1:3 at Mansfield, 1:3 to Hereford) because it's a mess despite the very welcome win – centre-back Wassmer has played at right-back (after playing a couple of games in midfield a few weeks ago), left winger/back Dunk's played on the right flank, striker Hughes has now obviously returned to central midfield, York's on-loan centre forward Reed was on the left flank, both key midfielders Jarvis and Berry haven't even made the starting line-up (Berry came on in the 87th minute, Jarvis stayed on the bench) and neither has first-choice right-back Roberts who obviously replaced striker-turned-midfielder Hughes after the break and, of course, first-choice left-back Jennings has recently switched to Mansfield while his replacement, Anderson from Billericay, is out injured, along with strikers Pugh and Smith. Forest Green have selection problems of their own (midfielders Brogan, Forbes and Collins are all injured along with centre-backs Racine and Bennett and striker Styche and another midfielder Bangura is still suspended), but at least they're not endlessly shuffling everything as much as Cambridge – centre-back Oshodi was forced to play in central midfield for a couple of hours recently, but, with Fowler now joining on loan from Doncaster, that's a problem solved I guess. They have one of the best away defences in the league (only 1.11 goals conceded per away game), a very decent away record at teams outside the top-four (three defeats, four draws and seven wins) and plenty of firepower up front – the expected line-up (Russell between the sticks; Hodgkiss, Oshodi/Adjaye, Turley and Stokes at the back; Green, Klukowski and Fowler in the middle of the park; Vieira on the right flank, Norwood on the left flank and Taylor/Wright up front) has a better chance for a win away at Cambridge than these odds suggest.

Anything better than 5.00 for this long-shot double looks great to me.

 

7.23 at StanJames...

7.02 at Bet365, Will Hill, Expekt...

6.50 at Sportingbet, Unibet...

6.37 at MyBet...

6.25 at Bwin, Coral, Tote...

6.12 at Bet-at-home...

5.95 at Paddy Power...

5.71 at Ladbrokes...

 

Grimsby – 2.75 StanJames, 2.70 Bet365, 2.65 Expekt, 2.60 Will Hill, Sportingbet, 2.55 MyBet, 2.50 Bet-at-home, Bwin, Coral, Tote, Unibet, 2.40 Ladbrokes, 2.38 Paddy Power

 

Forest Green – 2.70 Will Hill, 2.65 Expekt, 2.63 StanJames, 2.60 Bet365, Unibet, 2.50 Bwin, Coral, MyBet, Paddy Power, Sportingbet, Tote, 2.45 Bet-at-home, 2.38 Ladbrokes