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From: Skeeve picks
Sent: Friday, April 04, 2014 6:15 PM
Subject: picks & previews for Saturday, April 5 (asian handicaps)
 
SKRILL PREMIER: (-0.25) BARNET - Forest Green  (min. odds: 1.90)  4 points
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/england/conference-premier-2013-2014/barnet-forest-green-p8GlHTu8/#ah;2
 
SKRILL PREMIER: Kidderminster - (0) GRIMSBY  (min. odds: 1.75)  4 points
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/england/conference-premier-2013-2014/kidderminster-grimsby-fHzT7P2f/#ah;2
 



SKRILL PREMIER: (-0.25) BARNET - Forest Green  (min. odds: 1.90)  4 points
 
All of a sudden, under new (returning) manager Martin Allen (a comfortable home win against Hereford was followed by a good, more than deserved, draw away at Cambridge), Barnet look like they could sneak into the play-off zone after all. The remaining three home games against direct rivals should prove to be crucial and this is the first one. They were a better team away at Forest Green a month ago, deservedly won, they've recently managed to beat the likes of Grimsby and Alfreton at home and their top scorer Hyde is back from his injury. First-choice midfielder Weston is suspended, but fellow midfielder Byrne is back from his injury, they've signed an additional couple of very good midfielders for this final play-off push - Harper from Doncaster and Dymond who scored the equaliser at Cambridge on loan from Crystal Palace - keeper Stack is back from his suspension and their star winger Marsh-Brown is scoring goals again (he scored both against Hereford). Forest Green have a terrible away record at top-half teams (six defeats, three draws, no wins), they've just lost at both Southport and Woking, Barnet's new manager knows everything about their key striker Hughes as he was his manager at Notts County a couple of years ago, first-choice left winger Kelly is still injured and so are first-choice left-back Stokes and first-choice centre-back Racine (who both picked up injuries in defeat at Woking) while another few players are doubtful after missing the last few.
Anything better than 1.90 for this (-0.25) asian handicap (we only lose two points in case of a draw) looks great to me.
 
2.16 with Pinnacle...
2.14 with 12bet/Dafabet...
2.13 with 188bet, SBO...
2.11 with 5Dimes...
2.10 with Bet365...



SKRILL PREMIER: Kidderminster – (0) GRIMSBY  (min. odds: 1.75)  4 points
 
Kidderminster aren't bad at home, they've only lost three home games so far, but two of their remaining home games are against the top-three teams and all four are against teams outside the bottom-ten - and I don't think they'll stay on only three home defeats for the entire season. They've now shared points in three consecutive games (Aldershot and Salisbury away, Southport at home), they have a terrible record against top-six teams (two wins, at home against Gateshead back on the opening day of the season in August and away at Braintree only seven days later, a home draw with Braintree and as many as seven defeats) and an even worse one against the top-three (four games, all defeats, two goals scored, sixteen! goals conceded) and they've already lost 1:3 away at the very same Grimsby in December - and with a much, much stronger team. Along with first-choice midfielders Gittings and Storer who are both suspended for this game, Kidderminster are also missing first-choice midfielder/defender Jackman (injured), both first-choice centre-backs (Dunkley is recovering from his operation while Gowling has some pelvic problems) and winger Cieslewicz are all extremely doubtful and strikers Rowe, Ladapo and Johnson are all out on loan, not to mention all the important people who have left Kidderminster for good so far in 2014 - top scorer Lolley was sold to Huddersfield and both manager Burr and key midfielder Fowler followed him through the exit door very soon. Grimsby are the second best away team in the league, they've now won three consecutive away games and kept three consecutive clean sheets (at Nuneaton, Hereford and Wrexham), they'll be at full-strength (both first-choice central midfielders are back - Kerr from his suspension and Disley from his injury) and, with Rodman and either Neilson or McLaughlin on the flanks and any two of John-Lewis, Hannah, Jennings, Tounkara and Cook up front, I really think they are underrated here.
Anything better than 1.75 for this draw-no-bet (we get our money back in case of a draw) looks great to me.
 
2.01 with SBO...
1.98 with 12bet/Dafabet, 188bet, Pinnacle...
1.95 with Bet365...
1.94 with 5Dimes...
 
 
 

From: Skeeve picks
Sent: Friday, April 04, 2014 6:30 PM
Subject: picks & previews for Saturday, April 5 (doubles)

SKRILL PREMIER DOUBLE: CHESTER - Hyde & LUTON - Aldershot  (min. odds: 1.60)  4 points
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/england/conference-premier-2013-2014/chester-hyde-WOI0ERPQ/
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/england/conference-premier-2013-2014/luton-aldershot-jqUy63X6/
 
SKRILL PREMIER DOUBLE: BARNET - Forest Green & Kidderminster - GRIMSBY  (min. odds: 5.00)  1 point
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/england/conference-premier-2013-2014/barnet-forest-green-p8GlHTu8/
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/england/conference-premier-2013-2014/kidderminster-grimsby-fHzT7P2f/


SKRILL PREMIER DOUBLE: CHESTER – Hyde & LUTON – Aldershot  (min. odds: 1.60)  4 points
 
Chester obviously aren't the best home team in the league, but they did manage to beat Tamworth in their last home game, which was a crucial win, just like this is most probably the most important game of the season so far for them. They've already won 2:1 at Hyde back in November and I expect them to bounce straight back after the worst performance under Burr in a 0:2 defeat away at Welling last weekend. Hyde have been relegated quite a few weeks ago now, they're obviously the worst away team in the league and many important players have left the club on various loans until the end of the season (top scorer Spencer, another first-choice striker Carlton, centre-back Ashworth, versatile defender Lomax...). Carlton and Ashworth both joined Chester and are ineligible for this game, but Carlton is yet to be in the starting line-up and Ashworth is yet to appear at all, so not a real problem. Hyde are also without a goal in more than 420 minutes of football. I'm sure Burr knows what to do to get the crucial three points here.
Luton aren't that far from clinching that long awaited title and a return to the Football League. They're obviously the best home team in the league with fourteen wins in the last fifteen home games and I'm sure they'll do their best to win the first of the three consecutive home games. Aldershot are one of the worst away teams in the league with the second worst away attack and additional problem regarding their attack - top scorer Williams (24 goals so far) is still suspended and the other first-choice striker Bubb is still injured, along with first-choice left-back Tonkin, while midfielder Taiwo has just returned to the very same Luton, his parent club. Aldershot have also lost both away games in March and again failed to score a single goal on the road (0:1 at Tamworth, 0:1 at Braintree).
Anything better than 1.60 for this double looks great to me.
 
1.97 with 5Dimes...
1.96 with Coral, Will Hill...
1.95 with Ladbrokes...
1.90 with Pinnacle, Bwin...
1.87 with Bet365...
1.84 with BetVictor, StanJames, Tote, Unibet...
1.82 with Bet-at-home, Sportingbet...
1.80 with Paddy Power...
 
Chester - 1.44 Ladbrokes, 1.40 5Dimes, Coral, Will Hill, 1.38 Bet365 (-0.5), 1.36 Pinnacle, BetVictor, Bwin, Paddy Power, StanJames, Tote, Unibet, 1.35 Bet-at-home, Sportingbet
 
Luton - 1.41 5Dimes, 1.40 Pinnacle, Bwin, Coral, Will Hill, 1.36 Bet365, BetVictor, Ladbrokes, StanJames, Tote, Unibet, 1.35 Bet-at-home, Sportingbet, 1.33 Paddy Power
 
 
 
 
SKRILL PREMIER DOUBLE: BARNET – Forest Green & Kidderminster – GRIMSBY  (min. odds: 5.00)  1 point
 
All of a sudden, under new (returning) manager Martin Allen (a comfortable home win against Hereford was followed by a good, more than deserved, draw away at Cambridge), Barnet look like they could sneak into the play-off zone after all. The remaining three home games against direct rivals should prove to be crucial and this is the first one. They were a better team away at Forest Green a month ago, deservedly won, they've recently managed to beat the likes of Grimsby and Alfreton at home and their top scorer Hyde is back from his injury. First-choice midfielder Weston is suspended, but fellow midfielder Byrne is back from his injury, they've signed an additional couple of very good midfielders for this final play-off push - Harper from Doncaster and Dymond who scored the equaliser at Cambridge on loan from Crystal Palace - keeper Stack is back from his suspension and their star winger Marsh-Brown is scoring goals again (he scored both against Hereford). Forest Green have a terrible away record at top-half teams (six defeats, three draws, no wins), they've just lost at both Southport and Woking, Barnet's new manager knows everything about their key striker Hughes as he was his manager at Notts County a couple of years ago, first-choice left winger Kelly is still injured and so are first-choice left-back Stokes and first-choice centre-back Racine (who both picked up injuries in defeat at Woking) while another few players are doubtful after missing the last few.
Kidderminster aren't bad at home, they've only lost three home games so far, but two of their remaining home games are against the top-three teams and all four are against teams outside the bottom-ten - and I don't think they'll stay on only three home defeats for the entire season. They've now shared points in three consecutive games (Aldershot and Salisbury away, Southport at home), they have a terrible record against top-six teams (two wins, at home against Gateshead back on the opening day of the season in August and away at Braintree only seven days later, a home draw with Braintree and as many as seven defeats) and an even worse one against the top-three (four games, all defeats, two goals scored, sixteen! goals conceded) and they've already lost 1:3 away at the very same Grimsby in December - and with a much, much stronger team. Along with first-choice midfielders Gittings and Storer who are both suspended for this game, Kidderminster are also missing first-choice midfielder/defender Jackman (injured), both first-choice centre-backs (Dunkley is recovering from his operation while Gowling has some pelvic problems) and winger Cieslewicz are all extremely doubtful and strikers Rowe, Ladapo and Johnson are all out on loan, not to mention all the important people who have left Kidderminster for good so far in 2014 - top scorer Lolley was sold to Huddersfield and both manager Burr and key midfielder Fowler followed him through the exit door very soon. Grimsby are the second best away team in the league, they've now won three consecutive away games and kept three consecutive clean sheets (at Nuneaton, Hereford and Wrexham), they'll be at full-strength (both first-choice central midfielders are back - Kerr from his suspension and Disley from his injury) and, with Rodman and either Neilson or McLaughlin on the flanks and any two of John-Lewis, Hannah, Jennings, Tounkara and Cook up front, I really think they are underrated here.
Anything better than 5.00 for this double looks great to me.
 
6.55 with Coral...
6.42 with Bet365...
6.34 with 5Dimes...
6.23 with Ladbrokes, Will Hill...
6.05 with Pinnacle...
6.00 with Bwin...
5.99 with Unibet...
5.98 with StanJames...
5.95 with Paddy Power...
5.87 with Bet-at-home...
5.86 with Sportingbet...
5.73 with BetVictor...
5.62 with Tote...
 
Barnet - 2.50 Coral, 2.40 Bwin, 2.38 Bet365, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, Will Hill, 2.36 5Dimes, 2.35 Bet-at-home, Unibet, 2.32 Pinnacle, 2.30 Sportingbet, StanJames, 2.25 BetVictor, Tote
 
Grimsby - 2.70 Bet365, 2.69 5Dimes, 2.62 Coral, Ladbrokes, Will Hill, 2.61 Pinnacle, 2.60 StanJames, 2.55 BetVictor, Sportingbet, Unibet, 2.50 Bet-at-home, Bwin, Paddy Power, Tote
 
 
 
 
 
From: Skeeve picks
Sent: Friday, April 04, 2014 7:00 PM
Subject: recorded odds
 
SKRILL PREMIER: (-0.25) BARNET - Forest Green  (2.07 @Pinnacle)  4 points
 
SKRILL PREMIER: Kidderminster - (0) GRIMSBY  (1.98 @12bet/Dafabet)  4 points
 
SKRILL PREMIER DOUBLE: CHESTER - Hyde @1.36 & LUTON - Aldershot @1.40  (1.90 @Pinnacle)  4 points
 
SKRILL PREMIER DOUBLE: BARNET - Forest Green @2.32 & Kidderminster - GRIMSBY @2.61  (6.05 @Pinnacle)  1 point
 
 
 
 
 
From: Skeeve picks
Sent: Saturday, April 05, 2014 7:00 PM
Subject: +8.2 with the asian handicaps; +8.65 with the doubles
 
Weekend recap:
 
SKRILL PREMIER: (-0.25) BARNET - Forest Green  (2.07 @Pinnacle)  4 points  FT 2:1 (+4.28)
 
SKRILL PREMIER: Kidderminster - (0) GRIMSBY  (1.98 @12bet/Dafabet)  4 points  FT 0:1 (+3.92)
 
SKRILL PREMIER DOUBLE: CHESTER - Hyde @1.36 & LUTON - Aldershot @1.40  (1.90 @Pinnacle)  4 points  FT 3:2 / 1:0 (+3.6)
 
SKRILL PREMIER DOUBLE: BARNET - Forest Green @2.32 & Kidderminster - GRIMSBY @2.61  (6.05 @Pinnacle)  1 point  FT 2:1 / 0:1 (+5.05)